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08/16/2004: Interesting political playtoy
Current Electoral Vote Predictor.
Simple concept. Basically, assign the electoral votes to each candidate based on who's ahead in the most recent state polls. At least they're classifying states as "strong", "weak", and "barely" for each candidate. Right now, it's forecasting a Kerry victory, 327-211. HOWEVER, given that 134 votes are attributable to states which are listed as "barely Kerry" (74 EV) or "barely Bush" (60 EV), there's no reason to break out either the champagne or the sackcloth and ashes yet...
Still, you may want to keep an eye here....
Len on 08.16.04 @ 12:03 PM CST
Replies: 2 comments
on Monday, August 16th, 2004 at 12:50 PM CST, mike hollihan said
Drink too much of that KoolAid, Len, and you're gonna piss yourself come November. ;-)
on Monday, August 16th, 2004 at 7:38 PM CST, Len Cleavelin said
Mike, I've always maintained it's too close to call. Granted, I fervently hope that the Cowardly Deserter isn't "reselected", but I realize it's all too possible.
The only person I know who's drinking Kool Aid is you; you seem to think it's going to be a Bush landslide when the man's been stagnating at roughly 50% support for months, and that's BAD news for an incumbent. It's a lot, lot closer a horserace than you acknowledge.
The only event that will cause me to piss myself this year is if the Cardinals don't win the National League Central (which is still an outside possibility; can you say "'64 Phillies"?).